High Incidence of Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia in Kitsap County and Puget Sound Naval
Shipyard
First authored in 1996
I am writing this because of the concern I have over what I perceive to be a very high
rate of Chronic
Myelogenous Leukemia (CML) in Kitsap County (pop approx. 207,800) and the Puget Sound
Naval Shipyard (12,000 workers - 1990 to 1993). In February of 1993, I was diagnosed with
CML. In September of 1993, I had a bone marrow transplantation (BMT) at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA.
(CML is not cured except with a BMT). Since then, I have belonged to a local cancer
support group. There are five of us post BMT CML survivors in my support group (Al
McFarland (diagnosed 12/90; BMT 7/91), Terri (BMT 1/93), Heather, Jan (BMT 2/93) and Bob
Farmer- me (diagnosed 2/93; BMT 9/93). Three of us live within a mile radius of each
other. Terri lives one block from me and Al lives about two miles away.

Printed in the June 4, 1998
Center News
Fred
Hutchinson Cancer Research Center
The following are the reasons and logic behind my concern:
- I do not believe I should know so many local CML BMT survivors. The diagnosed disease
rate for the whole State of California for CML is 1.3 per 100,000 per year for CML. The
rate of all leukemias together is 9.8 per 100,000, Ref. (a). The national rate
for CML is 1.4 per 100,000 per NIC report on leukemia, Ref. (b). The newly diagnosed cases
per year are 5,000, Ref.
(c) . There are slightly over 1000 Allogeneic BMT for CML in USA for 1995 per graph.
Ref. (d).
- Three of the five of us (Al, Terri, and I) were Puget Sound Naval Shipyard workers when
diagnosed with CML. Puget Sound Naval Shipyard had approximately 12,000 employees during
that period. Assuming that I know 20% of the total CML cases in the Navy Yard, the rate
would be 68.9 times the national average. If I know 100% of the CML cases and 100% were
leukemia free survivors (LFS), the Navy Yard rate would still be 8.3 times the national
average.
- In the Public Works Group, I have been informed that there were three diagnosed cases of
leukemia in 1993 for 600 employees. This would be a rate of 500 per 100,000 for leukemia.
We were exposed to heavy exhaust fumes. Most vehicles were operated and serviced inside of
our building without being connected to the external ventilation system. Another problem
like this is the main engineering building (known as Building 850, The Henry Jackson
Engineering Building) air intake is from the carport at the front entrance. This has been
a continuing problem discussed at meeting between unions and management since it was
built.
- Only about 30 to 40 percent of CML patients have a sibling donor. The rest of them have
to use an unrelated donor. Heather and Terri (of the five of us) had unrelated donors.
Many people do not receive a BMT because of other health problems, expense or because they
do not want to do it. There must be many more than the five of us that were diagnosed
during the roughly two-year period (26 months) we were all diagnosed. We should be like
the tip of an iceberg. There should be about 41 CML cases in Kitsap County in that same
period, if the data in Ref.
(c) and Ref. (d) is
valid. Roughly 20 percent of CML victims have a bone marrow transplant -
Ref. (c) divided
by Ref. (d). Roughly
50 to 70 percent of patients survive a BMT for CML per Ref. (e) if done in the
chronic stage (much less in the accelerated or blast stage). The bottom line is only about
20% of CML patients finally have a BMT and less than 60% of them survive leukemia free 3
to 6 years post BMT.
- I sense there is resistance to know or study problems like this because of the possible
negative economic effects and community morale. Kitsap County has much to be concerned
about with all of the Naval Activities in the area (Puget Sound Naval Shipyard, Bangor Sub
Base, and Keyport Torpedo Naval Station). No place wants to be known as the Love Canalers
or Down-winders of Western Washington.
- Early in my illness, I submitted a workers compensation claim and asked my health care
provider to support my claim as occupational. I was told there was no evidence to support
my claim and my claim was denied with these words: "The evidence of file supports
the fact that the claimed events, incidents or exposures occurred at the times, places and
in the manners alleged. However, a medical condition resulting from the accepted trauma or
exposure is not supported by the medical evidence of file. Therefore, an injury within the
meaning of the FECA is not demonstrated." In October of 1996, I appealed my
workers compensation claim based upon new information and presented it to my health care
provider. I was provided with an attending physicians report that strongly supported my
claim, however my claim was denied with these words: "Your claim for compensation
has been denied as it did not meet the guidelines for timeliness, as required by the
Federal Employees Compensation Act." If I received the same support for my
first claim in 1993, my BMT (approx. $225,000) and wages would have been paid from workers
comp. I would not have lost 50% of my salary and significant out-of-pocket expenses. I
have not been able to return to work because of the downsizing of the Navy. It angers me
to have been deliberately or negligently exposed to cancer causing environments and agents
while employed and to have no legal recourse or remedy.
- I have delayed mentioning these facts and concerns, in order to present my case
objectively, accurately, and not distorted or exaggerated by my personal experience with
CML. I am concerned that the media will put this off as paranoia. I know that I am not a
statistician and it will be expensive to do a research study, but I believe it should not
take a "rocket scientist" to be concerned.
- Robert F. Farmer
- Bremerton, WA
Calculations using the reference data assumptions.
- Table 1. Incidence of CML in Puget Sound Naval Shipyard, Dec 1991 to Feb 1993 with 20%
of known survivors with a 60% leukemia free survival (LFS) rate.
| PSNS - predicted outcome (20% known with 60% LFS) |
| BMT survivors total |
3 |
| BMT survival rate |
60% |
| Pre BMT |
5 |
| % who do BMT |
20% |
| 2.16 year total (26 months) |
25 |
| 1 year average |
11.57 |
| Population base |
12,000 |
| Incidence per 100K |
96.5 |
| National average per 100K |
1.4 |
| Times above the national average |
68.9 |
- This is 2.75 to 3.4 times worse than Hiroshima and Nagasaki
Atomic bomb survivors after the explosion of Hiroshima and Nagasaki had a
20-25 fold increase in the incidence of leukemia.
- Table 2. Incidence of CML in Puget Sound Naval Shipyard, Dec 1991 to Feb 1993 with 100%
of known survivors with a 100% leukemia free survival (LFS) rate.
| PSNS - best outcome (100% known with 100% LFS) |
| BMT survivors total |
3 |
| BMT survival rate |
100% |
| Pre BMT |
3 |
| % who do BMT |
100% |
| 2.16 year total (26 months) |
3 |
| 1 year average |
1.39 |
| Population base |
12,000 |
| Incidence per 100K |
11.6 |
| National average per 100K |
1.4 |
| Times above the national average |
8.3 |
- Table 3. Incidence of CML in Kitsap County, Dec 1991 to Feb 1993 with 20% known
survivors with a 60% leukemia free survival (LFS) rate.
| Kitsap County - predicted outcome (20% known with 60%
LFS) |
| BMT survivors total |
5 |
| BMT survival rate |
60% |
| Pre BMT |
8.3 |
| % who do BMT |
20% |
| 2.16 year total (26 months) |
41.7 |
| 1 year average |
19.29 |
| Population base |
207,800 |
| Incidence per 100K |
9.3 |
| National average per 100K |
1.4 |
| Times above the national average |
6.6 |
- References:
- (a) California rate for CML is 1.3 per 100,000 per year for CML
- Source:
- Table 1. Average Annual Age-Adjusted (1970 US Standard) Invasive Cancer Incidence Rates
per 100,000 Population by Primary Site, Race/Ethnicity and Sex
- http://cedr.lbl.gov/~houser/cancer/calif94/t1.html
- (b) National rate for CML is 1.4 per 100,000 (4,200 per yr)
- Source:
- National Cancer Institute
- NIH Publication Number 94-329
- Revised November 1993
- Table 2. Leukemia Statistics
- NCI/PDQ Cancer News: - Modified
-
- (c ) Total per year in USA aprox 5,000 year
- Source:
- BMT Newsletter story on BMT
for Leukemia
January 1995
Issue # 28 - BMTs for Chronic Myelogeneous Leukemia
- http://nysernet.org/bcic/bmt/march1995/lead-story.html
- (d) Slightly over 1000 Allogeneic BMT for CML in North America for 1995
- Source:
- International Bone Marrow Transplant Registry
- http://www.biostat.mcw.edu/IBMTR/slides.html
- Slide 4: Indications for blood and marrow transplants in North America, 1995
- http://www.biostat.mcw.edu/IBMTR/gifs/Slide_4.GIF
-
- (e) Other
- Slide 8: Probability of Leukemia-free Survival after HLA-identical Sibling BMT for
Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia, 1989-1995
- http://www.biostat.mcw.edu/IBMTR/gifs/Slide_8.GIF
I welcome your comments and suggestions.
Bob Farmer - robert.farmer@comcast.net
Last Updated on 05/25/04